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Preliminary 2011 Hurricane Season Forecast

Drs. Klotzbach and Gray at Colorado State issued there 2011 Hurricane Season Forecast today indicating that the above normal Atlantic Basin hurricane activity will continue for 2011.  Their report...

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2011 Hurricane Season Forecast Update

Respected Colorado State hurricane forecasters Drs. Klotzbach and Gray continue to call for an active hurricane season with 16 named storms, 9 hurricanes and 5 major storms (averages over the last 40...

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Hurricane Season Primetime Fast Approaching

Like death and taxes it’s nearly always a certainty that tropical activity in the Atlantic Basin ramps up dramatically as mid-August approaches.  This year should be no different.  Nearly every year...

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Madden-Julian Oscillation – Key to Forecasting Tropics

One of the more important tools I have found in recent years on forecasting tropical activity beyond the normal 1-10 day computer model forecasts is the use of the Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO)...

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Links to Important Sites Before, During and After a Storm

With impending tropical weather threatening Acadiana this weekend I wanted remind everyone to stay apprised of the weather conditions very closely as there will likely be big changes ahead.  Part of...

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Tropical Hot Spots Through the End of September

Although the tropics have quieted down considerably as compared with the last two of weeks, the peak of hurricane season continues into mid-October. Some of Louisiana’s (and Acadiana’s) bigger storms...

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State of Hurricane Season into October

While hurricane season officially ends November 30th, climatology dictates that by mid-October the threat of big, block-buster hurricanes in the Gulf of Mexico decreases dramatically. Any tropical...

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2012 Hurricane Season Forecast

                    The 2012 Hurricane Season is expected to be less active in the Atlantic Basin as compared with the average of the last 30 years, and much less active than the last 15.  While the...

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Mid-Hurricane Season Update

September 10th marks the mid-point of the Atlantic Hurricane Season.  To date there have been 13 named tropical storms in the Atlantic Basin, 7 of which have become hurricanes and only one major storm,...

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Busy 2013 Atlantic Hurricane Season Expected

The 2013 Atlantic Hurricane Season begins Saturday and it’s expected to be another busy year. Since 1995 the Atlantic Basin entered a 20-30 year period where the “thermo-halene”  circulation belt has...

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Statistical Risk for a Louisiana Hurricane in 2013

While NOAA and Drs. Klotzbach & Gray have lowered the total number storms in the Atlantic Basin for the rest of this season, it is still expected to be a busy one. The venerable Colorado State...

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